Stuck in the sand: Why the current form of credit scoring in the UAE and KSA is not meeting the demand

October 7, 2024

Small and Medium Enterprises are vital to the Saudi Arabian economy, contributing to 34% of the GDP and employing over 55% of the workforce. Despite their critical role, securing financing remains a significant hurdle for many SMEs, hindering their growth potential and the progression of the wider economy.

The culprit? A credit scoring system stuck in the past. Currently, Saudi Arabia's credit scoring system, primarily offered by the Saudi Arabian Credit Bureau (SIMAH), relies heavily on traditional methods focusing on factors like credit history, financial statements & potential collateral. This system naturally disadvantages SMEs because it prioritizes elements like long credit history and collateral over factors that better reflect a young business’ potential, like cash flow or business model.

Limitations of the current system:

  • Credit History Hurdle: Traditional systems penalize SMEs without a long credit history, often unfairly shutting out promising startups. Statistics show that over 60% of SMEs in Saudi Arabia are less than 5 years old, highlighting the need for a more inclusive approach.
  • Collateral Requirements: Lack of significant collateral, such as land or buildings, often leads to loan denials, even for businesses with strong potential. A 2021 report by the World Bank found that collateral requirements are a major barrier for SMEs in MENA countries, including Saudi Arabia.
  • Inadequate Data: Traditional systems rely primarily on bank data, overlooking a vast landscape of alternative financial data. This includes crucial insights like cash flow, invoices, and e-commerce transactions, which paint a more complete picture of an SME's financial health.

Fintech & AI: Adding valuable insights

The good news? Fintech and Artificial Intelligence solutions are offering additional perspectives and integrated technologies that can allow for banks and other lending institutions to make faster and more accurate credit decisions.

  • Alternative Data: Leveraging platforms that collect and analyze alternative financial data allows for a more holistic assessment of an SME's financial health. Cash flow, invoices, purchase orders, and e-commerce data can provide valuable insights, enabling a more informed decision. Studies by the International Finance Corporation have shown that incorporating alternative data significantly improves creditworthiness assessments for SMEs.
  • AI-powered Credit Insights: AI algorithms can analyze vast amounts of data, including traditional and alternative sources, to create a more nuanced risk assessment. This allows lenders to identify promising but credit-history-thin SMEs with higher accuracy and provide them with access to the capital they need.
  • Cash Flow as a Metric: AI models can shift the focus from static collateral to dynamic cash flow analysis. Businesses with strong cash flow and healthy financial projections become more eligible for credit, even without holding significant assets on their balance sheets.
  • Fintech for Efficiency: Fintech platforms can streamline the loan application process with online applications, automated verification, and faster decision-making, reducing turnaround times for SMEs seeking financing.

Open Banking: A Saudi Advantage

A significant advantage for Saudi Arabia is its adoption of Open Banking regulations. Unlike many other countries in the MENA region, Saudi Arabia has mandated Open Banking, allowing secure data sharing between financial institutions and authorized third-party providers. This opens up a world of real-time financial data such as transaction history, account balances, and cash flow, providing a more comprehensive picture of a business financial health.

Benefits of Open Banking in SME lending:

  • Reduced Operational Costs: Open banking eliminates the need for lenders to rely on traditional methods of data collection, which can be time-consuming and expensive. By leveraging secure data sharing via third-party providers, lenders can save resources and improve operational efficiency.
  • Innovation & Diversification: Open banking opens doors for the creation of new and innovative financial products tailored to the specific needs of SMEs. With access to richer financial data, lenders can develop targeted loan options and risk-based pricing models, leading to a more competitive financial landscape. This is crucial for Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 goal of economic diversification.
  • Financial Inclusion: Open banking fosters financial inclusion by allowing lenders to assess the creditworthiness of SMEs that might not have a long credit history or significant collateral. This can help unbanked or underbanked SMEs gain access to financing and contribute more significantly to the Saudi economy.

The Saudi government recognizes the potential of what is happening in the fintech sector and have shown through initiatives like the Financial Sector Development Program (FSDP) and the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority's (SAMA) regulatory sandbox that they encourage the adoption of new solutions.

Looking forward:

With collaboration between Fintech startups, established banks, and the Saudi government, a future-proof credit scoring system can be built. This system, empowered by AI and Open Banking, will enable SMEs to access additional capital and increase their share of Saudi Arabia’s GDP, aligned with Vision 2030.

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